Evidence · Research

The paper under the pixels.

A civic roadmap in nineteen sections: the policy architecture behind the scenarios — civic dividends, AI governance charters, climate capex, reskilling infrastructure — with the research each lever is calibrated against.

19
sections
5
policy levers specified
4
scenarios derived

Read the full paper → print-ready — use your browser's Print for a PDF

What it argues

I

The diagnosis

Civilizational systems — climate, work, governance, technology — are coupled. Single-system policy fails because the feedback loops route around it. The simulator exists to make those loops visible.

II

The architecture

Five levers, specified to the percentage point: civic dividends, AI charter adoption, climate capex, reskilling investment, institutional transparency. Four settings of those levers are the four scenarios.

III

The calibration

Projections anchored to IPCC pathways, World Bank and ILO labor data, OECD automation studies, and institutional trust research — with live measurements keeping the 2026 baseline honest.

Sources the model leans on

Climate
IPCC AR6 · SSP1-5
Global Carbon Budget · IUCN Red List · FAO · WHO
Economy
World Bank · ILO
GINI projections · OECD automation · UBI literature
Governance
Edelman · OECD
trust baselines · IEEE/OECD AI governance frameworks

The paper keeps its own long-form reading layout and print stylesheet — it opens in the current design by intent. This project is open source; methodology, corrections, and contributions are welcome on GitHub.