7
Systems
AI, Climate, Governance, Workforce Transition, Civilization Health, Simulation Engine, and Strategy Catalog. Each models one dimension. Changes in one propagate across all others through feedback loops.
01
Today’s Civilization Score
02
Systems Index — Aggressive
03
What This Is
A data-driven simulation framework that models the interconnected forces shaping long-term civilizational outcomes — climate, governance, workforce, equity, technology, and wellbeing.
The world’s most critical systems — climate, economy, governance, technology — don’t operate in isolation. A policy decision about AI regulation ripples through labor markets. A failure in climate adaptation compounds inequality. A collapse in institutional trust undermines every other reform.
This simulator maps those interdependencies. It takes seven civilizational systems — including AI itself — connects them through feedback loops, and projects how different levels of policy intervention produce radically different outcomes over 50 years.
This is not a prediction engine. It is a planning tool — a structured way to reason about systemic tradeoffs, compounding effects, and the consequences of acting (or failing to act) at civilizational scale.
All data is modeled from scenario projections, calibrated against IPCC pathways, labor economics research, and institutional governance literature. Nothing here is real-time sensor data.
4
Policy Scenarios
Every chart and projection can be toggled between Aggressive Action, Moderate Reform, Business as Usual, and Worst Case. Watch how the same metrics diverge radically under different assumptions.
50
Year Horizon
Trajectories from 2025 through 2075. Some decisions compound slowly; others create sharp inflection points. The long view reveals dynamics invisible in short-term analysis.
04
How to Use This Site
1. Start with the Score
Every page opens with a Today’s Score — a composite assessment of that system’s current health, graded on 2026 baseline data. This is where we stand before any intervention.
2. Switch Scenarios
Use the scenario buttons on each page to toggle between the four futures. Every chart, score, and narrative updates instantly to show how that system responds under different policy assumptions.
3. Read the Charts
Every graph shows all four scenarios simultaneously. The active scenario is highlighted with a bold line; inactive scenarios are dimmed but visible for comparison. End-of-line values show final outcomes.
4. Explore the Simulation
The Simulation page has interactive policy levers — adjust civic dividend rates, climate investment, AI governance, and more. Scrub the timeline from 2027 to 2070 and watch metrics evolve.
Experience the Systems in 3D
See all six operating systems as an interactive network. Switch scenarios and scrub through 50 years of projections while the nodes, connections, and ambient soundscape respond in real time. Three modes: a flagship 3D visualizer, an AI knowledge graph explorer, and immersive WebXR.
3D Experiences →3D
Interactive
Network Graph
3 Experiences Under One Roof
The Visualizer hub now includes the flagship 3D network, a Knowledge Explorer (ask questions, grow a 3D graph), and an immersive WebXR mode for VR/AR headsets.
05
The Four Scenarios
Every projection is modeled under four divergent scenarios. Each varies the core policy levers — civic dividend rates, AI governance charter adoption, climate investment, workforce reskilling, and institutional transparency — to produce different long-term trajectories.
06
The Seven Systems
Each operating system models a different dimension of civilizational health. Together they form a composite picture. Explore each to see detailed metrics, scenario projections, and supporting analysis.
AI →
Artificial intelligence: alignment progress, autonomy risk, compute governance, model transparency, deployment safety, and public trust. 6 core metrics tracking whether AI capability growth is converging with — or diverging from — governance capacity.
Civilization →
The aggregate view: composite scores across all seven systems, KPI trajectory comparisons, funding pool breakdowns, revenue source modeling, and the implementation timeline from discovery through continental-scale deployment.
Simulation →
The interactive engine. Adjust 5 policy levers (dividends, climate capex, reskilling, transparency, AI charter), scrub the timeline from 2027 to 2070, and watch structural metrics evolve. Generates detailed narrative reports for every year and scenario.
Climate →
Planetary systems: temperature trajectories, emissions pathways, biodiversity indices, ocean health, renewable energy transition, crop yields, water stress, sea level rise, and tipping point risk assessment. 8 core metrics across 6 sub-domains.
Transition →
Workforce and economic transition: poverty rates, reskilling timelines, placement rates, employment metrics, and the income bridge calculator — modeling how civic dividends offset career transition costs under each scenario.
Governance →
Institutional infrastructure: civic participation rates, AI charter adoption, citizen assemblies, governance modules (participatory budgeting, open audits, algorithmic transparency), and safety audit coverage tracking.
Strategy →
The action catalog: 50+ concrete intervention strategies organized across individual, institutional, and systemic implementation levels. Each strategy maps to the systems it would affect.
07
The Arc of Civilization
Every civilization-defining technology changed what was possible. AI is the latest — and it may be the last one we get to choose how to deploy. The Timeline traces 200,000 years of human inflection points and asks: what do the next 25 years look like?
Explore the Timeline →200K
Years of Humanity
8 inflection points. Each compressed more change into less time. The gap between the last two is 15 years. The window for the next one is ~10.
08
Methodology & Data Sources
All projections are generated through scenario modeling calibrated against established research. The simulator is designed to illustrate systemic dynamics, not to produce forecasts.
Climate Data
IPCC AR6 shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1–5), Global Carbon Budget 2024, IUCN Red List indices, FAO crop yield models, WHO water stress indicators.
Economic Models
GINI coefficient projections from World Bank data, labor displacement estimates from OECD automation studies, civic dividend frameworks from UBI research literature.
Governance Metrics
Edelman Trust Barometer baselines, OECD Government at a Glance, AI governance charter frameworks from IEEE and OECD AI principles.
This project is open source. All code, data, and methodology are available on GitHub. Feedback, corrections, and contributions are welcome.